Newry City vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 2
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
NEW
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LIS
2 - 2
CRU
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
DON
76%
16%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
CRU
3 - 2
NEW
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |