Newry City vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CLI
3 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
LIN
0 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NEW
0 - 6
LIN
19%
23%
58%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 2
INS
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GLE
1 - 1
CRU
40%
25%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
3 - 4
POR
47%
23%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CRU
1 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |