Newry City vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
12º
12º
41
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
6 - 1
NEW
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 2
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
NEW
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
COL
4 - 1
GLE
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
BAN
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
COL
0 - 4
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CLI
5 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 2
COL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |