Newry City vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
12º
12º
70
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
NEW
81%
14%
6%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 3
CLI
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 4
CLI
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 2
GLE
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |