Newry City vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
70.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
10º
66
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 4
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
CLI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |