Newry City vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
12º
12º
38
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
NEW
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
4 - 2
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 1
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 3
GLE
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
60%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
LOU
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
CLI
17%
23%
59%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |