NIFL Premiership Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 6-3
Newry City vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
INS
0 - 1
NEW
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 2
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |