Newry City vs Bangor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 1
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
4 - 0
DUN
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
LOU
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
QUB
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bangor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BAN
4 - 1
TOB
58%
20%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
1 - 3
BAN
46%
23%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
BAN
6 - 2
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
BAN
69%
16%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
MFC
1 - 5
BAN
5%
10%
85%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |