Newry City vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
3º
2º
37
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
19%
24%
58%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
3 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
BAL
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
GLE
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
LAR
0 - 2
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |