Newry City vs Ballinamallard United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARC
3 - 3
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 3
LIM
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
NEW
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 4
DUN
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
LOU
15%
20%
66%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
ARD
39%
24%
36%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 0
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 0
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 1
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |