Newry City vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
DOL
5 - 1
NEW
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUN
1 - 0
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 5
BAN
14%
21%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
ARD
66%
19%
16%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 0
INS
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 1
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
ARD
61%
20%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARD
0 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |