Newry City vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
DUN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
HAR
55%
24%
22%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 2
NEW
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
NEW
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
ARD
25%
23%
53%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
AUN
39%
25%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 2
ARD
34%
23%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 1
KNO
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |