Newroz SC vs Baghdad FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newroz SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2022 |
ALM
1 - 1
NSC
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 1
KAR
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
0 - 0
ALZ
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 1
NSC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
NSC
2 - 0
SFC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Baghdad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 0
ALQ
28%
31%
41%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
BAG
0 - 0
NAF
37%
32%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 2
BAG
38%
30%
32%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
BAG
3 - 0
QAS
31%
30%
39%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
ALS
1 - 2
BAG
49%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |