Newroz vs Umeå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newroz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GUT
2 - 0
NFC
55%
19%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NFC
0 - 4
ATV
19%
19%
62%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
KUM
3 - 3
NFC
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NFC
2 - 3
HUD
56%
20%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ASI
3 - 0
NFC
56%
19%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Umeå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
ORG
1 - 1
UME
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
UME
0 - 0
VAS
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NOR
6 - 0
UME
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
UME
1 - 0
GIF
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LJU
0 - 0
UME
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |