Newport County vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 3
EAS
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GRI
2 - 0
NEW
28%
27%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 1
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HAY
1 - 2
NEW
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
YOR
0 - 1
KET
57%
26%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 1
YOR
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2010 |
YOR
0 - 0
DAR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TAM
1 - 3
YOR
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
MAN
5 - 0
YOR
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |