Newport County vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
NOR
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
2 - 2
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 2
LEY
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PLY
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SAL
3 - 0
NEW
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
BHA
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
WAL
3 - 1
MAN
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 0
STE
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 0
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |