Newport County vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 0
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
STF
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CAM
4 - 0
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 0
OPA
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 2
TRA
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 1
HAR
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 0
STA
49%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
TRA
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |