Newport County vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SCU
1 - 2
NEW
44%
26%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
3 - 0
MKD
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
MIL
3 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHE
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEY
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
3 - 1
CRE
39%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 1
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
PLY
1 - 2
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
SWI
32%
26%
41%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SWI
4 - 0
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |