Newport County vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 0
QPR
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 0
NEW
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
OXF
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
IPS
2 - 1
STE
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
STE
0 - 2
NOT
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
STE
0 - 3
NTT
22%
23%
55%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 1
STE
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
STE
1 - 1
SOU
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |