Newport County vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
43.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
YOR
1 - 0
NEW
50%
27%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 0
WYC
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
PLY
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 2
ROC
28%
27%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 3
SOU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 0
ROC
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
YOR
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |