Newport County vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
NEW
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 1
MOR
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
BCF
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRA
4 - 1
NEW
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PLY
1 - 0
STE
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PLY
0 - 2
SUN
24%
25%
50%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PLY
0 - 5
CHE
40%
22%
38%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SCU
1 - 4
PLY
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
PLY
3 - 1
GIL
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +2 |