FA Cup 1/64
Global 0-1
Newport County vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CRA
3 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
STE
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
BPO
4 - 1
NEW
58%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
WYC
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
STA
0 - 1
PLY
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
2 - 0
DON
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 0
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
PLY
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
PLY
0 - 2
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |