Newport County vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
GRI
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
NOT
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 1
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 4
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
CRE
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
OXF
3 - 1
BUR
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
OXF
2 - 3
STA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
OPA
4 - 1
OXF
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
OXF
2 - 0
COV
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 2
FLE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |