Newport County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
18.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
WHU
55%
20%
25%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GIL
0 - 2
NEW
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEW
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 3
WAL
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
ALT
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
FYL
3 - 0
OLD
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROC
3 - 4
OLD
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
OLD
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 1
DAG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |