Newport County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 7
NEW
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GRI
1 - 1
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COL
3 - 1
NEW
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
FLE
5 - 2
OLD
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GAT
1 - 2
OLD
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOR
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
OLD
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
OLD
2 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |