Newport County vs Nuneaton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 4
NEW
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 2
YOR
24%
26%
50%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 1
NEW
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
0 - 1
WRE
31%
29%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
ALF
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Nuneaton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NUN
4 - 5
EBB
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
NUN
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUI
0 - 1
NUN
47%
24%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 1
GUI
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BLY
2 - 3
NUN
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |