Newport County vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WYC
1 - 2
NEW
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 1
TRA
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 0
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 1
STF
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
DAG
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
MAN
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 1
AFC
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PLY
1 - 1
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |