Newport County vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
GLO
1 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
4 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
HRA
13%
22%
65%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
NEW
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 0
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 3
MAN
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 1
HUL
14%
23%
63%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
HYD
0 - 0
MAN
13%
23%
65%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAM
39%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
MAN
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |