Newport County vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 0
NEW
26%
27%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 1
BCF
38%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 3
NEW
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
SWI
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 0
TRA
40%
27%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 0
TRA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 0
LIN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
CHE
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MKD
0 - 2
LIN
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
LIN
1 - 1
MAC
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -1 |