Newport County vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRA
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 4
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIN
3 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
4 - 0
WRE
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 1
LEI
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
0 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 1
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 1
LEI
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
MAC
18%
23%
60%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |