Newport County vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 3
NEW
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 0
YOR
60%
23%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 3
EAS
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GRI
2 - 0
NEW
28%
27%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 1
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
KET
1 - 1
KID
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
KET
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
YOR
0 - 1
KET
57%
26%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
KET
2 - 1
HAY
54%
24%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
KET
3 - 3
ALT
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |