Newport County vs Histon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 1
TAM
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
DAR
1 - 0
NEW
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
NEW
27%
28%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 0
DOV
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HAV
4 - 0
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 0
HIS
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
HIS
3 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HIS
2 - 2
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
HIS
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
LUT
6 - 3
HIS
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |