Newport County vs Grimsby Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 0
DON
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grimsby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CRE
5 - 0
GRI
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRI
1 - 1
LUT
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
STE
2 - 0
GRI
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GRI
2 - 0
NOT
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
GRI
0 - 3
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |