Newport County vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WEL
2 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 3
HYD
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 3
NEW
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
6 - 2
CAM
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 3
WOK
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
MAC
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
WRE
1 - 1
GAT
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
GAT
35%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 0
ALF
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GAT
2 - 1
WOK
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |