League Two Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 5-4
Newport County vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
NEW
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHE
33%
30%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
4 - 0
SCU
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
EXE
0 - 0
NEW
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
CRA
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
OLD
0 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRA
29%
27%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
BAR
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
EXE
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |