Newport County vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
NEW
53%
22%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
FOR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
ALF
3 - 2
NEW
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
LIN
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 2
FLE
40%
24%
36%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 1
FLE
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
FLE
2 - 2
YEO
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
FLE
3 - 0
KET
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GAT
1 - 1
FLE
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |