Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Newport County vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 2
NEW
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1980 |
NEW
6 - 0
SKH
34%
22%
44%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
SKH
0 - 0
NEW
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
CRU
0 - 0
NEW
77%
13%
10%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1980 |
NEW
4 - 0
CRU
37%
21%
42%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1981 |
CZJ
5 - 0
ZWI
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
HAL
0 - 1
CZJ
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
CZJ
2 - 2
NEW
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
SGD
3 - 2
CZJ
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
CZJ
1 - 0
BSG
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |