Newport County vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CRE
3 - 2
NEW
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
LEI
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
STE
1 - 0
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
CRA
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 4
FOR
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
EXE
0 - 0
MOR
66%
20%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
SWI
0 - 2
EXE
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 2
GRI
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
EXE
2 - 1
YEO
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
OLD
2 - 3
EXE
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |