Newport County vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 1
NEW
60%
23%
18%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 1
HAR
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STE
3 - 1
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DON
1 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
YEO
0 - 3
DON
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DON
3 - 1
CRE
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 3
DON
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
DON
3 - 1
OPA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |