Newport County vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GAT
0 - 0
NEW
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
STO
1 - 0
NEW
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
KID
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
EBB
1 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
DAR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DAR
3 - 0
GAT
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DAR
0 - 1
BAR
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HYD
3 - 0
DAR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DAR
2 - 1
WRE
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |