Newport County vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
NEW
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
NEW
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
COL
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
3 - 1
COL
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
STE
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
CRA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 0
COL
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 0
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |