Newport County vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SUT
1 - 0
NEW
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRA
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
0 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
EXE
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 0
NEW
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
BRA
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
EXE
2 - 0
COL
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
COL
0 - 2
STE
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 2
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
TRA
23%
28%
49%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |