Newport County vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
LEE
5 - 1
NEW
71%
19%
9%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
COV
0 - 1
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
CRE
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 2
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
STE
3 - 3
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 0
POR
41%
26%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SHW
4 - 1
CHE
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
GRI
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 3
ROT
41%
24%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |