Newport County vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NEW
2 - 1
WAL
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NOT
3 - 0
NEW
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 2
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 4
NEW
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 4
MAI
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
WYC
3 - 3
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 0
LIN
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
2 - 3
GRI
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
CHE
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |