Newport County vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
NEW
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
DAG
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 2
BBU
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
YOR
0 - 1
NEW
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CUM
2 - 0
STA
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
0 - 3
EVE
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 1
YOR
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
YEO
1 - 1
CUM
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CUM
38%
26%
37%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |