Newport County vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
WYC
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
MAN
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXE
1 - 1
NEW
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 0
CUM
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 3
HAR
65%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
PLY
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STA
2 - 2
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
OPA
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
AFC
41%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |