Newport County vs Arsenal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 0
BRA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 0
SCU
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 1
NEW
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
WAL
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
NOR
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 1
ARS
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 0
ARS
45%
22%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2020 |
GIL
1 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
ARS
46%
22%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
IPS
1 - 2
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |