Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAT
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
KID
2 - 3
NEW
32%
28%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FLE
1 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
WEA
0 - 1
NEW
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NEW
0 - 0
WEA
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
3 - 1
HAY
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 0
EAS
62%
21%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 0
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
STE
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 2
KET
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |