Newport County vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
WOK
1 - 3
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 0
MAN
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
2 - 2
TAM
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 4
NEW
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 3
TAM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 3
HYD
29%
26%
46%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
1 - 0
AFC
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 2
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
KID
1 - 0
AFC
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |