Newport County vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
DON
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LEY
4 - 1
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
NEW
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
NEW
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
STA
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DON
4 - 1
STA
58%
22%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
STA
10%
17%
73%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BPO
1 - 3
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |